Think I understand the U.S. thinking in bulldozing ahead
with the Ukraine coup despite the collywobbles of the EU.
The EU wanted to keep Russia on board with the transitional
government.
The U.S. said, F*ck the EU, we’re going to make a statement
in Ukraine. So they pushed the coup
through to its conclusion and put in power a government that wants to have
nothing to do with Russia.
In other words, F*ck Russia.
The objective was to present Putin with an unpalatable
choice.
He could either make a spectacle of his impotence by doing
nothing, which will probably encourage anti-Russian states in the near beyond
and also empower pro-US fans of the “occupy the square and make a ruckus”
persuasion in Russia’s allied neighbors like Belarus and maybe in Moscow
itself;
Or Russia could try a more forcible response, in which case
it would be excoriated and ostracized as the bad guy of Eurasia one more time.
I expect that the U.S. response to the EU concern that, by
blowing up the transitional arrangement, it was wrecking Ukraine’s best chance
to get out of the mess as part of a Western/Russian condominium, is that Putin
will be subjected to a vigorous shaming campaign if he doesn’t swallow his
resentment and help out the Ukraine.
In order to lay the foundation for this likely development,
the Ukrainian coup is getting a PR makeover almost laughable in its rapidity.
To deny any justification for Russian disgruntlement, the
coup—which, for months, was clearly pitched as an initiative by
pro-European/anti-Russian ethnic Ukrainians in the West to forestall the
criminal negligence by the pro-Russian government of putting its eggs in the
Russian Customs Union basket instead of proceeding with the EU agreement—is being
repackaged as a unified national revolution against the insane kleptocracy of
designated fall guy Yanyukovich.
Despite the awkward optics of alleged Queen of the
Kleptocrats Yulya Timoshenko taking her place in the new government, the new,
improved Ukraine revolution product a.k.a. Coup Two has been simultaneously
rolled out in fora as diverse as John Kerry’s press conference in Washington
and in the anti-Putin Moscow Times.
And
I expect that the new government will be prevailed upon to deny its undeniable
anti-Russian roots by repealing the embarrassing law that superseded the
previous acceptance of Russian as an official language with a ban on the use of
anything but Ukrainian in government business.
Thesis: If all the Ukrainian revolution wanted to do was
kick some corrupt dirtbags out of office and had no grudge against Russia, in
other words, how could Vladimir Putin be so mean to the Ukrainians as to let
them stew in their own juice?
If Putin gets obstreperous about ethnic Russians in Crimea,
the security of the Black Fleet naval base at Sebastopol, renegotiating the
concessional price for gas, recognizing the new government, or holding back on
the rest of the $15 billion previously promised to Yanyukovich…well, I think
the op-eds have already been written.
And if Ukraine turns to ordure as a result of national
division, IMF austerity, and an economic rupture with Russia, I can hear Victoria
Nuland saying, F*ck Ukraine. It was
already f*cked anyway.
In honor of this development, I’ve written a little poem:
An American Poem for the EU, Russia, and Ukraine
We did the coup;
Nothing you can do.
So ignore the pain
And help out Ukraine
Or we’ll do the work
To make you look like a jerk
And you’ll all be Nulanded together!
Hello, I wrote a poem too, this is Putin responding to Nuland:
ReplyDeleteNow Sochi is over
No more 4-leafed clovers
You think you are sober?
I'll ride you over
I'll bomb you to Dover
To your femalde lover
Game over
Who the hell are you to judge? You have no clue. Russian empire is rising now. Nothing can stop us (except ourselves).
My poem is...better
ReplyDeleteYour poem is better but you probably mean conundrum instead of condominium.
ReplyDelete