Friday, September 20, 2019

The Cold War Roots of the African Swine Flu Plague

[This is the script of a segment on African Swine Flu that I did for Newsbud China Watch in July 2018.  Things have gotten worse since then, with the virus spreading to South Korea.]

As the US Beltway obsesses on its China threat calculations, the global pig industry and the global agricultural economy are being transformed by a lethal virus: African Swine Fever, or ASF.

ASF is not transmittable to humans but the current form of the virus is absolutely lethal to pigs and highly contagious, and it is sweeping through China.

The Chinese pig-raising industry is being remade as the government has quarantined districts and banned shipments of pigs in order to contain the virus.  Chinese pig production will drop up to 40% as pig farmers slaughter hogs they can’t ship or sell.  Since pig farming relied on imported soybean meal for feed, and feed imports are going to drop, China’s ability to import massive amounts of American agricultural products—a key source of Chinese leverage in the trade war—is under threat.

But on the other hand China will be buying more U.S. pork—though there’s no way the U.S. can fill the PRC pork hole by itself—so there’s that.

The virus is extremely robust and can survive outside of a live host and inside pork products—including the animal feed in which most pig blood shows up—and the threat of swine fever from China to Taiwan’s pork industry has become a political talking point for the anti-PRC Taiwanese government and media.

Even the 2019 World Pork Expo in Des Moines, Iowa in the United States was canceled out of an abundance of caution as the organizers put it.

It looks like the Chinese pig industry, which has almost 700 million hogs and produces half the world’s pork, will turn its back on the small mom and pop producer that formed the backbone of the industry, in favor of massive industrial facilities that can invest the money in the procedures and equipment to manage the biohazard—and also produce gigantic reeking lagoons of pig excrement.

That’s what progress smells like in the pig industry.

The Chinese government is pushing the narrative that it’s got a handle on the epidemic, but according to a US delegation that visited in March, that’s not the case:

“African swine fever is very bad. There are reported cases all across the country, but many cases are not reported. They have found the disease in sausage, in processed meat, and in dumplings. Although the government repeatedly tells consumers that it has nothing to do with health of the human, people are still concerned. Pork consumption is going down.”

African swine fever is uncontrollable. It has spread from China to Vietnam and will likely soon be in Thailand, South Korea, and Japan. The situation in China is much worse than four months ago.

Well, where did this menace come from?

African Swine Flu came into China from the north—from Russia.  Before that it ravaged the Baltic states and Poland, leading to the restructuring of the pig industry up there.

Before that, it came from the Caucasus, and the trail ends—or starts—in the nation of Georgia.

And maybe African Swine Fever was held in a government lab in Georgia and got out with a little help from the violently anti-Russian government of Mikhel Saakashvili.

Back in 2012, when ASF was just a little regional blip that had been roiling the Caucasus for five years, the Russian consumer protection agency blamed Georgia for releasing the virus:

“ASF came to us from Georgia. First, of course, to Ossetia, and then to the Krasnodar and Stavropol regions. There are signs that this situation is artificially injected.  It is economic sabotage.”

The Russians might know more than a little about African Swine Flu.

The African Swine Fever that has made its way from Georgia through Russia to the Baltics and Poland and now to China and Asia is genetically distinct from the previous outbreak, which was traced to exchanges between Portugal and its Angolan colony in the 1950s.

The Georgian outbreak that occurred in 2007 is related to a version of the virus first identified in southeast Africa in the 1970s.  To be specific, Mozambique and Zambia, with Mozambique a major Soviet client at the time.  Soviet agricultural experts worked extensively on aid projects in Mozambique.

Maybe Soviet scientists collected some samples of the local swine fever variant with hopes of developing a vaccine, the as yet unattainable holy grail of ASF researchers. 

But maybe the Soviet bureaucracy had a better idea and the samples were transferred to the Soviet bioweapons program to be genetically modified for increased lethality and put into the arsenal.  It’s known that by the 1980s the Soviet Union developed a second-generation ASF bioweapon in its so-called “Ekology” program for agricultural warfare.

And maybe some of that engineered African Swine Flu was held in Georgia when Georgia was a piece of the Soviet Union and part of the Soviet biological warfare system producing anti-livestock biological weapons as well as veterinary vaccines at multiple facilities. 

And maybe some of that ended up in the labs of independent post Soviet Georgia under the administration of pro-American Russia hating dingbat entrepreneur Mikhel Saakashvili and somehow found its way into the wild, well onto the hog farms of Russia and its allies.

So, is the catastrophe in Eurasian pig-raising actually blowback from the Soviet biological weapons program engineered by  Mikhel Saakashvili?

Could be.
And consider this.  After the fall of the Soviet Union, the U.S. military didn’t help the government of newly independent Georgia destroy its stocks of dangerous pathogens; it helped preserve them…through the establishment of Georgia’s repository for dangerous pathogens, the bizarrely named Pathogen Asset Control System, which is now maintained at a US funded facility in Tbilsi, the Richard Lugar Center for Public Health Research.

Think about that as you chew on your pork chop.




Packers And Movers Bangalore said...

Packers and Movers Bangalore as a Services providing company can make all the difference to your ###Home Relocation experience. Bangalore based Company which offers versatile solutions, Right team that easily reduce the stress associated with a ???Household Shifting, ***Vehicle Transportation. we help things run smoothly and reduce breakages and offer you seamless, Affordable, Reliable Shifting Services, Compare Shifting Charges
Packers And Movers Bangalore

Packers And Movers Bangalore said...

Packers And Movers Bangalore Local Household Shifting Service, Get Free Best Price Quotes Local Packers and Movers in Bangalore List, Compare Charges, Save Money And Time at
Local Packers And Movers Bangalore

Unknown said...

Thank for information, i like this.
please come to my website also.

Agen Judi Slot Casino Terpercaya

Judi Tembak Ikan
Daftar Slot Online
Ion Casino Club
Bandar Slot Online
Situs Live Casino

Packers And Movers Mumbai said...

Hire Best Packers And Movers Mumbai for hassle-free Household Shifting, ***Office Relocation, ###Car Transporation, Loading Unloading, packing Unpacking at affordable ✔✔✔ Price Quotation. Top Rated, Safe and Secure Service Providers who can help you with 24x7 and make sure a Untroubled Relocation Services at Cheapest/Lowest Rate
Packers And Movers Mumbai

Nikita said...

If you have any kind of complaint about any product or any service then share your complaint with others as your complaint helps others in making the right decision.

Post Here

Angelia Luki said...

Agen Situs Judi terpercaya Indonesia yaitu indobetsport menyediakan game Slot Online, live casino, bola 88 sbobet, idn poker, sportsbook hanya pakai 1 akun.
Indo Betsport
Situs Judi Online Terbaik
Situs IDN Poker
Situs Bola Tangkas
Situs Slot Mesin
Bandar Bola 88
Judi Slot Online
IDN Poker
Judi Bola Tangkas
Bola Tangkas
Micro Gaming
PG Soft
Live Casino
Indo Bet Sport

Packers Movers Hyderabad said...

Packers and Movers Hyderabad Give Certified and Verified Service Providers, Cheap and Best ###Office Relocation Charges, ***Home Shifting, ✔✔✔Goods Insurance worth Rs. 10,000, Assurance for Local and Domestic House Shifting. Safe and Reliable Household Shifting Services in Hyderabad with Reasonable Packers and Movers Price Quotation @ Packers And Movers Hyderabad

webspace said...

We are Webspace Inc. organization working as the Best Digital Marketing Company in USA and we give many services to our client that is website designing, website development, Search Engine Optimization, E-commerce web Designing, Software Development, Google Adword and Mobile Application.
web design New York
web development New York
online marketing New York
ecommerce web development New York
internet marketing New York
SEO company New York
seo company USA
Web development company
Web development company California
Web development company Los angeles
Web Design Company
webiste design services
website design services in usa
website redesign services
website design company in usa
web development company
website development comapny in usa
webdevelopment company usa

jasmin said...

share it 9apps
9apps lulubox
9Apps Instagram
messanger 9apps
nox cleaner 9apps
9apps YouTubekids
9apps google play store
9app Google translate
9apps all social media app

Unknown said...

Sky Lark squad is a committed firm to give Online Tech Support in USA and Canada for PC, workstation, PC, printer, email applications, programs, switches, peripherals, windows items and a few innovation-based contraptions.
Online Tech Support in USA
Online Tech Support in Canada
online tech support
online tech experts
online tech support usa
online tech support canada
online tech experts usa
Quickbooks Support Number
roadrunner tech support phone number
roadrunner customer service number
roadrunner tech support usa
roadrunner tech support canada
yahoo mail support phone number
yahoo customer service number
yahoo tech support usa
yahoo tech support canada
yahoo technical support phone number
Windows Live Mail Tech Support
gmail customer service phone number
gmail tech support phone number
gmail tech support usa
gmail tech support canada
msn customer service phone number
msn tech support number
msn tech support usa
msn tech support canada
Hotmail Tech Support
hotmail tech support phone number
hotmail customer service number
hotmail tech support usa
hotmail tech support canada

sabar said...

bandar togel
Bandar Judi Bola Togel Slot Casino Online 1 Id Untuk Semua Game

Annymous Shark said...

Thank you for your thoughtfulness

Annymous Shark said...

Thank you for your attention

Annymous Shark said...

I can't say thank you enough

Odobenus rosmarus said...

Thank you for your thoughtfulness

Odobenus rosmarus said...

Thank you anyway

allprinterrepair said...

Enhance and boost the printer’s firmware to the latest version. Upgrade your existing internet speed which may be low by dialing your ISP (Internet Service Provider) as soon as possible. Substitute all the depreciated wires with brand-new wires. Fix every wire firmly and tightly. Update your personal computer or laptop’s OS (Operating System) too. Verify if the power cord is fine. It may have overheated due to abnormal usage. Switch off the router or the modem immediately and launch it after some time elapses. Eliminate many IP’s sitting on your network that is hampering connectivity and causing security issues. These are some of the easily implementable tips and tricks to resolve the Brother Printer Offline Error.

Nikita said...

If you want to post your review with others, post your review here. Just click on the link below and post your review.

Post your reviews here

Belinda Posillico said...

Awesome and interesting article. Great things you've always shared with us. Thanks. Just continue composing these kinds of posts. To know more about Ecommerce Web Design Los Angeles visit the link now!

Neha Khan said...

BA Exam Result - BA 1st Year, 2nd Year and 3rd Year Result

Bsc Exam Result - Bsc 1st Year, 2nd Year and 3rd Year Result

Zinavo-Web Design | Web Development | SEO | Mobile Apps | ERP/CRM said...

That's wonderful stuff you've written up here. Been searching for it all around. Great blog Web Design & Development Company in Bangalore | Website Designing Company in Bangalore | Website Designing Companies in Bangalore

Unknown said...

The Norton setup secret is a numeric-alphabet code that includes Norton’s subscription. Go to the return of the subscription card and find your 25 digits code.
The Norton Setup
norton setup
norton product key
enter norton product key
Install Norton
Antivirus Support Phone Number
norton antivirus support phone number
avg antivirus support phone number
avast antivirus support phone number
kaspersky antivirus support phone number
mcafee antivirus support phone number
avast tech support phone number
avast customer service number
avast tech support usa
avast tech support canada
avast support phone number

पूरण मल मीना said...

Thank for information, i like this.
please come to my website also
Mp3 Song Download Kaise Kare Gana Download Karne Ke Aasan Tarike

Jessica Huang said...


Website paling ternama dan paling terpercaya di Asia ^^
Sistem pelayanan 24 Jam Non-Stop bersama dengan CS Berpengalaman respon tercepat :)
Memiliki 8 Jenis game yang sangat digemari oleh seluruh peminat poker / domino

- Adu Q
- Bandar Q
- Bandar Sakong
- Bandar Poker
- Poker
- Domino 99
- Capsa Susun

Permainan Judi online yang menggunakan uang asli dan mendapatkan uang asli ^^
* Minimal Deposit : 20.000
* Minimal Withdraw : 20.000
* Deposit dan Withdraw 24 jam Non stop ( Kecuali Bank offline / gangguan )
* Bonus REFFERAL 15 % Seumur hidup tanpa syarat
* Bonus ROLLINGAN 0.3 % Dibagikan 5 hari 1 kali
* Proses Deposit & Withdraw PALING CEPAT
* Sistem keamanan Terbaru & Terjamin
* Poker Online Terpercaya
* Live chat yang Responsive
* Support lebih banyak bank LOKAL

Contact Us

Website SahabatQQ
WA 1 : +85515769793
WA 2 : +855972076840
FACEBOOK : SahabatQQ Reborn
YM :
Kami Siap Melayani anda 24 jam Nonstop

Daftar SahabatQQ
#sahabatQQ #winsahabatQQ #winsahabat #88sahabatQQ #88sahabat #windaftar

Unknown said...

Situs Judi Online Terbaik dan Terpercaya di Indonesia yang menghadirkan banyak permainan kualitas terbaik.

Bandar IDN Live
Ceme Idnplay
Daftar IDN Live
IDN Live Play
judi sbobet

Katelyn Leah said...

It’s the instructions that help you to complete the setup easily. Features and specifications are many for the latest models. Execute the hardware setup first and then proceed with the software update. Connect the cables and it’s important to fix it to the exact port. Surprisingly for new models, you will have the auto wireless connect features. It’s time to visit the Canon software update page and start your search to find the matching software. Go back to the installation wizard to complete the steps. Speak to our techies for support