Monday, June 25, 2012

The Great Leap Forward from Myth to History

This post originally appeared at Asia Times.  It can be reposted if AT is acknowledged and a link to AT is provided.
The Great Leap Forward, a calamity that killed tens of millions, afflicted China with the misery and morals of a concentration camp, and spawned the Cultural Revolution, was once a shunned and shameful topic.  

But convenient myths—such as the threadbare explanation of “Three Years of Natural Disasters”, fingerpointing at the Soviet Union, and exculpatory emphasis on quixotic but seemingly admirable revolutionary enthusiasm—are now crumbling as a new generation feels enough distance to confront the painful past, and at the same time races to record the memories of the citizens who suffered through the period before they pass on.

Through the efforts of Chinese and foreign researchers, a more complete history of the Great Leap Forward is emerging from archives and personal accounts, as a parade of folly, viciousness, and cruelty.  This history—and the current regime’s incomplete willingness to confront it—is finding resonance in the campaign to discredit Chongqing neo-Maoist firebrand Bo Xilai, and the effort to shape the agenda of the new leadership cadre that is expected to assume power in 2013.

In the process, the era of the Great Leap Forward and its aftermath is acquiring a new name: The Great Famine.

The Great Leap Forward was born of hubris: Mao Zedong’s bet that his version of socialism could unleash unprecedented productivity from the Chinese economy and show the supercilious commissars of the Soviet Union who was the best and greatest Communist leader.

In 1958 and 1959, China was convulsed by massive, disruptive labor projects, collectivization, and a mad rush to steelmaking.  Agriculture was disrupted by diversion of labor and misapplied programs of deep planting, marginal land recovery, and over-irrigation.  At the same time, local leaders made extravagant claims of increased agricultural output attributed to the new socialist system, figures that were further padded as they traveled up the chain of command to Beijing and, fatally, became the basis for central government grain requisitions.

Things turned very dark very quickly as local cadres emptied granaries in order to meet their requisition targets and demonstrate their ability, zeal, and loyalty to their superiors.  

One county in Henan claimed production of 7 billion jin of grain—but actually produced only 2 billion jin—of which 1.6 billion jin was requisitioned.

By the late months of 1958, throughout China communal kitchens—where farmers in the new collectives went to get fed—were either handing out thin gruel or were no longer bothering to light their fires at all.  People began to starve.

Despite concerted efforts by local and provincial leaders to cover up, it was soon apparent at the center that something was seriously amiss.

And things got worse.

Mao Zedong adopted the self-serving explanation that the shortfall in grain was the result of a counter-revolutionary resurgence in the Chinese countryside, with ex-landlords and rich peasants conniving to conceal their bumper grain harvests from the state.

Ironically, his convictions were buttressed by the party secretary of Guangdong province, who conducted a successful campaign to root out one million tons of grain hidden by desperate peasants.  His name: Zhao Ziyang.

As the situation deteriorated in the Chinese countryside, therefore, the afflicted areas were not regarded as disaster areas needing outside assistance; they were nests of anti-state criminals who had to be compelled to give up their ill-gotten grain.

Then things got even worse.  As news of widespread suffering trickled up to the party leadership, sub voce dissatisfaction with Mao’s policies was amplified at the Lushan plenum in the summer of 1959 as open criticism of the Great Leap Forward as a whole by defense minister Peng Dehuai and party elder Zhang Wentian.

Mao interpreted the criticism at Lushan as an attack on himself by a cabal of candidate Khrushchevs and launched an all-out political war, loyally abetted by Zhou Enlai, Lin Biao, and most other senior leaders, against Peng, Zhang, and any cadre that presumed to criticize the Great Leap Forward.

The full human and political dimensions of the Great Famine—and a damning portrait of Mao as a leader who was happy to slay the messengers, by the tens of millions, rather than endure the humiliation of acknowledging the failure of his policies before his peers in China and the Soviet Union, or accept diminution of his authority and political power—are found in the book Mao’s Great Famine by Dr. Frank Dikӧtter (New York: Walker & Co., 2010).

In the words of Dikӧtter:

Had the leadership reversed course in the summer of 1959 at Lushan, the number of victims claimed by famine would have been counted in the millions.  Instead, as the country plunged into catastrophe, tens of millions of lives would be extinguished through exhaustion, illness, torture, and hunger.
As party ranks were purged of over 3 million officials whose doubts led them to soft-pedal GLF policies (and swelled by new, more ruthless but perhaps less qualified additions), local cadres, in a convulsion of fear, fury, and opportunism beat, tortured, and killed peasants they considered thieves, malingerers, and complainers, while trying to obscure the dimensions of the disaster from their disbelieving superiors.

Dikӧtter told Asia Times how he was struck by documents surviving in mainland archives that showed that as many as 2.5 million people were tortured or beaten to death in those desperate years.
In his view, the Great Leap Forward was perhaps unique in scope of homicidal activity inflicted by the regime and its agents: more than the Great Terror accompanying the CCP’s consolidation of power in the early 1950s, and more than the Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution, whose violence was on conspicuous national and international display in China’s cities but not inflicted wholesale on China’s hundreds of millions of peasants.

Beyond overt violence, there was the dark issue of the use of food by cadres as an instrument of reward—and execution.  Dikӧtter noted to Asia Times:

Who do you give the food to?  You give to those who are reliable…food was used as a weapon distributed according to political considerations…feed the strong, not the weak, the aged, the sick…  
The worst suffering took place in provinces like Sichuan, Hunan, and Gansu, which counted their leaders as some of Mao’s most committed supporters.

The final toll is unknowable but most probably amounts to approximately 45 million excess deaths for the period from 1958 to 1962, when the central government finally acknowledged the extent of the catastrophe and retreated from collectivized agriculture.

Many of the critics of the Great Leap Forward were rehabilitated in the 1980s, after the fall of the “Gang of Four”.  However, the venom of those years has yet to be completely expelled from China’s system.

The volatile world of Chinese microblogs was roiled on April 29, 2012 by a statement posted by one Lin Zhibo, head of People’s Daily Gansu Bureau and, apparently a neo-Maoist and supporter of Bo Xilai, the now-disgraced “Red Mayor” of Chongqing:

“To bash Chairman Mao, some people even fabricated lies about the death of tens of millions of people during 1960 to 1962. To confirm the number, some visited those Henan villages which experiences the worst famine at the time. It turned out that the truth didn’t match their lies. Many villagers have heard of people starving to death but never personally saw one themselves, which is direct evidence that very few people died of starvation at the time.” (translations by Offbeat China)

Lin’s statement was indignantly rebutted in dozens of replies from netizens posting recollections of their parents of the horrendous suffering their families had endured, such as:

“The Great Famine experienced by my family. My hometown is Jingyan at Leshan. One of my aunts married a Mr. Xiong from the same village. They had a total of 8 members in their family, the couple, one son, two grandparents, and three siblings. They all starved to death during the Great Famine. None survived! The tragedy happened right to our parents’ generation. How does Lin Zhibo dare to deny it?”

An interesting element of this affair was what Sherlock Holmes termed the dog that didn’t bark or, in this case, the censor who didn’t censor.  As Offbeat China put it:

Luckily no one seemed to report censorship over stories of the Great Famine on Sine [sic] Weibo.

The story took an even more interesting twist as some public figures weighed in on the Communist Party’s greatest failure, a topic that might, under other circumstances, be considered taboo.

Apparently in response to Lin’s microblog post, on May 2nd economist Mao Yushi (recently awarded the Milton Friedman Prize for Advancing Liberty by the Cato Institute) posted a moving excerpt on his blog from his 2010 memoir, A Journey Without Regret.  He discusses the reach of famine—including a family of 12 in the village of whom only one had survived--and the suffering he personally experienced while rusticated to Shandong in 1960 as a rightist:

When people suffering hunger, their human consciousness yields completely to their base nature as a stinking skin sack.  People lose any ideals and have only one desire, that is to “eat.”…While I was in Teng County, I was unendurably hungry.  My entire body swelled up with edema, I couldn’t even put on my shoes and it was difficult simply to bend at the waist…I was able to make it through for only one reason, and that is that that I ate quite a few locusts during summer and autumn…I would catch one and put it in an envelope.  When I had seven or eight, I would burn the envelope in the fire…and cook the locusts…the locusts’ digestive tract was filled with a green liquid…it was extremely bitter and difficult to swallow.  But hunger makes people disregard any other consideration…If I had had to stay there for two more months I would, without question, have died. 

Then Southern People Weekly, a human interest and current affairs publication of the liberal Southern Media Group, devoted the cover and four in-depth articles of its May 21 edition to first-person testimony concerning the catastrophe of The Great Famine.

One piece profiles a survivor who erected a crude memorial stele in his home town in Henan to the 73 victims (out of a total population of 128) who failed to make it through the “grain pass” to survival.

Another presented survivor stories from Gansu collected by a young writer that provide further insight into the misery and degradation of the period: the man who ate the dead and was shunned by his wife and son; the 100+ people suffering from edema who were herded into an abandoned kiln to hide them from the visiting investigative team of Dong Biwu and died when it caved in; and the young man who staggered out of his house and collapsed, only to hear someone inside implore him to “Could you please die a little further off?”, perhaps so that the family could be spared the insupportable effort needed to move and bury his corpse.

Then there was the story of Li Shengzhao, an investigator and gadfly who suffered incarceration under the most horrific, Monte Cristo-esque conditions (including solitary confinement for two years in a darkened room weighed down with 30 pounds of fetters) as punishment for trying to bring the excesses of the Great Leap Forward to light.

In judging the current state of play concerning the Great Leap Forward, however, the most interesting article profiled Liao Bokang, who played a key role in bringing the suffering in Sichuan to the attention of the Party center.

The four pieces were the result of extensive site visits and interviews and were not cobbled together overnight.

However, the introduction to Liao’s piece specifically quoted and addressed Lin Zhibo’s provocative post of a few days before:

During the May Day holiday of 2012, as the Weibo post…had accumulated a few hundred responses, 88-year old Mr. Liu Bokang already knew about it.  He noted the author’s level of higher education and his background in media work and remarked: You can be unaware of history.  But you can’t talk nonsense!  Isn’t there a campaign now to track down and investigate false rumors?

As a corrective, Liao’s recollections offer insights into the Great Leap Forward in Sichuan and provide testimony as to the massive death toll in the province—perhaps 25% to 1/3 of the national total.

In the 1960s, Liao was an important cog in the Chongqing municipal government, serving as vice director of the municipal committee secretariat.  He was also secretary of the Chongqing Municipal Young Communist League.  At that time, Hu Yaobang, who was in charge of the national Young Communists organization, encouraged the local organizations to help bring abuses to the attention of the party.

In 1962, Liao went to Beijing for a Young Communists conference and gave a detailed report to Hu Yaobang concerning the situation in Sichuan.  Hu, now remembered as China’s beloved reformer, instructed Liao to give an oral report to Yang Shangkun, now reviled as the iron fist in Deng Xiaoping’s crackdown at Tiananmen in 1989, at that time pro-tem party secretary for the Young Communists as well as director of the Center’s secretariat.

According to Liao’s account, as paraphrased by Southern People Weekly, Yang had been given death figures of 4 to 8 million by various departments, but didn’t believe them:

Yang Shangkun said to Liao Bokang: According to you, how many people have really died in Sichuan?

Liao Bokang extended a single finger, indicating 10 million. 

Liao showed Yang a May 1962 document … with an attachment showing that the population of Sichuan in 1957 was 72,156,000.  At the end of 1960, the population was 62,360,000.  In three years, the population of Sichuan had dropped by 10 million.

Liao Bokang added: the actual number of dead should be more than 10 million.  Yang responded, How do you say that?

Liao’s reasoning was that 1) the natural rate of population increase from 1957 to 1960 should be taken into account; 2) people were still starving to death in Sichuan through 1960 and the first half of 1962.  Based on those two points, Liao believed another 2.5 million should be added to the count.

Liao Bokang remembers: When Yang Shangkun heard that number, he slapped his thigh in agreement.  He also instructed his secretary to open a small secured cabinet in the meeting room and take out a small, old fashioned string-bound notebook.  After opening it, Yang examined it and declared, “That’s the number!”  This circumstance shows that the Center’s leaders were screening the various numbers provided to it in an effort to figure out the actual circumstances.

The upshot of this encounter, according to Liao, was a report to Deng Xiaoping by Yang and Deng’s decision to dispatch a confidential investigative team composed of native Sichuanese officials “at the bureau level” (because officials of the ministerial level were required to report to the local party organization when they made a visit).

The only non-Sichuanese member of the team was Xiao Feng, a high ranking official at People’s Daily.

The team documented the tragedy in Sichuan in detail, but by the time they submitted the report the political winds had shifted back in Mao’s favor. The report was spiked and as of today the only evidence of its existence is the manuscript copy of his section of the report retained by Xiao Feng, who is now 93 years old.  It confirms the death toll of 12 million—17% of the province’s total population.

For his pains, Liao was the target of a vendetta by the Sichuan provincial government.  He was accused of participating in an anti-party clique and spent the next two decades in various labor and detention facilities until he was completely rehabilitated in 1982.  Punning on the slogan, “A year (of great leap) is equivalent to twenty years (of ordinary development)”, Liao quipped that “three hours (of reporting to Yang on the Great Leap Forward) worked out to twenty years (of incarceration).”

After his rehabilitation, Liao returned to work as secretary of the Chongqing municipal committee.
Liao’s article is a decisive rebuke to the revisionism of Lin Zhibo.  The fact that the key surviving document was composed and preserved by Xiao Feng—from Lin’s own paper, People’s Daily—adds an extra fillip of triumph to the exercise.

More significant, perhaps, is the picture it presents of reformers fighting the good and necessary fight against destructive leftism—in Chongqing, the previous stronghold of Bo Xilai and his brand of neo-Maoist populism, and in Sichuan, the site of perhaps the greatest catastrophe in the dismal history of CCP radical leftism.

Tales of derring-do by Liao and his associates in their initial attempt to get a letter to the Center evoke reports of the oppressive surveillance Bo allegedly brought to bear on his opponents.

In a case of what Liao wryly termed “semi-heroics”, the group prepared an anonymous letter, had it typed by a mute (“so he couldn’t talk about it”), and mailed it from Wuhan in an attempt to evade the wiretaps and mail covers the provincial government had already been deploying for several years.  In the event, the authorship of the letter was ferreted out anyway, adding to Liao’s not inconsiderable political difficulties.

The article describes Liao’s analysis of the causes of the tragedy in Sichuan:

“In Liao Bokang’s heart, these questions have already been clearly parsed.  Natural causes?  Liao Bokang has checked the meteorological records; that was not the problem.  Shipment of grain outside the province?  Liao Bokang has compared Sichuan to other provinces.  The amount of grain shipped out of the province was smaller, relatively speaking.  The conclusion is: the problem was policy, and Sichuan was more left than most.”

This conclusion was echoed in another article on the controversy in Global Times, the voice of combative nationalism that is much closer to the levers of central power than the distant and distrusted Southern Daily.

In a May 4 article titled “Counting the Dead”, Zhao Qian cited estimates of as many as 36 million dead and wrote:

Fu Siming, a professor with the Party School of the  CPC Central Committee, told the Global Times that the current debate among scholars is understandable, and some former senior officials did admit human errors that led to the disaster.

Then Chairman Liu Shaoqi pointed out at a conference in 1962 following the Great Leap Forward, that only 30 percent of the famine was due to natural disasters, and the remainder were "human errors."

But the authorities have not changed the references concerning the "Three Years of Natural Disasters," nor given a clear answer about exactly how many people died during the famine. Some books about this part of history, written by Chinese scholars, are still banned on the Chinese mainland.

As to the political ramifications, Zhao went on to say:

Cao Siyuan, a constitutional and economic scholar and director of Siyuan Think Tank, told the Global Times that the major reason for many scholars to highlight this part of history is to stress the importance of political reform at the Party's upcoming 18th National Congress, as many of them see that poor governance contributed to the famine.

This is the kind of message that reformers would like to get out into the public domain as the hardline and left-leaning wing of the party is in disarray following the fall of Bo Xilai.  

Bo’s growing clout represented more than simply his cynical and skillful manipulation of mass politics; it raised the threat that popular disgust with the current lopsided and corrupt economic reform might translate into a backlash against the reformers and in favor of Maoist revolutionary nostalgia.

Turning the Chinese public’s attention toward the Great Leap Forward, in other words, might be more than a matter of history, witness, remembrance, and justice.

It might also be good politics as well.


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